Influence no longer invisible Races · TX-33 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Texas · 2026

Texas District 33 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Texas District 33

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Race header

U.S. House, Texas District 33 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Colin Allred
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Patrick David Gillespie
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Colin Allred · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Colin Allred 99%
REP Patrick David Gillespie 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMAllredREPGillespie
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Colin Allred$8,134,455.95
Patrick David GillespieNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Colin Allred$7,836,027.76
Patrick David GillespieNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Colin Allred$298,428.19
Patrick David GillespieNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Colin AllredNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Patrick David GillespieNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Colin AllredNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Patrick David GillespieNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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