Race header
DEMNominee
Jamie Ager
20%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Travis Groo
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Jennifer Capps Balkcom
80%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
80% Jennifer Capps Balkcom · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Jennifer Capps Balkcom
80%
DEM
Jamie Ager
20%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Ager 56.0% · Balkcom 43.0%
Emerson College / Poll Vault · 2026-10-14
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMAgerLIBGrooREPBalkcom
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Jamie Ager$5,869,452.65
Travis GrooNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jennifer Capps Balkcom$399,491.70
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Jamie Ager$5,249,294.71
Travis GrooNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jennifer Capps Balkcom$104,674.18
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Jamie Ager$620,157.94
Travis GrooNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jennifer Capps Balkcom$294,817.52
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Jamie Ager56.0%Emerson College · 2026-10-14
Travis GrooNot available Not named in the newest listed poll (2026-10-14)
Jennifer Capps Balkcom43.0%Emerson College · 2026-10-14
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Jamie AgerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Travis GrooNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Jennifer Capps BalkcomNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
1 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Ager | Groo | Balkcom | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson CollegePoll Vault | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | LV · n=388 | 56.0% | not named | 43.0% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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