MS-02 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Mississippi District 2 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Bennie G. Thompson incumbent

98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

INDOn the ballot

Bennie Foster

—Not published for this candidate

REPNominee

Ron Eller

2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentBennie G. Thompson

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

98% Bennie G. Thompson · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Bennie G. Thompson 98%

REP Ron Eller 2%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+11 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 62.0% 2024 general · margin 24.0%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-06-30, 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMThompsonINDFosterREPEller

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Bennie G. Thompson$928,245.03through 2026-10-14

Bennie Foster$0.00through 2026-06-30

Ron Eller$70,824.97through 2026-10-14

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Bennie G. Thompson$1,272,252.92through 2026-10-14

Bennie Foster$0.00through 2026-06-30

Ron Eller$65,445.19through 2026-10-14

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Bennie G. Thompson$1,282,156.34through 2026-10-14

Bennie Foster$9,189.82through 2026-06-30

Ron Eller$42,108.88through 2026-10-14

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Bennie G. ThompsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Bennie FosterNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Ron EllerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Bennie G. ThompsonD+11seat-level

Bennie FosterD+11seat-level

Ron EllerD+11seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+11

Lean (D minus R, points): +11.290

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Bennie G. Thompson	DEM	177,885	62.02%
Ron Eller	REP	108,956	37.98%

Total votes 286,841 · winning margin 24.03% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Jun 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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