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Race · U.S. House · Texas · 2026

Texas District 21 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Texas District 21

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Race header

U.S. House, Texas District 21 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Kristin Hook
4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Mark Teixeira
96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
96% Mark Teixeira · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Mark Teixeira 96%
DEM Kristin Hook 4%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMHookREPTeixeira
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Kristin Hook$388,865.29
Mark Teixeira$4,392,605.96
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Kristin Hook$340,972.01
Mark Teixeira$3,952,066.56
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Kristin Hook$52,250.44
Mark Teixeira$440,539.40
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Kristin HookNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mark TeixeiraNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Kristin HookNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Mark TeixeiraNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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