Race header
DEMNominee
Marquette Greene-Scott
7%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Trever Nehls
93%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
93% Trever Nehls · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Trever Nehls
93%
DEM
Marquette Greene-Scott
7%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMGreene-ScottREPNehls
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Marquette Greene-Scott$68,294.77
Trever Nehls$327,410.40
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Marquette Greene-Scott$65,867.90
Trever Nehls$252,643.40
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Marquette Greene-Scott$2,630.47
Trever Nehls$74,767.00
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Marquette Greene-ScottNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Trever NehlsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Marquette Greene-ScottNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Trever NehlsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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