Influence no longer invisible Races · VA-10 House 2026
Hidden Levers
Race · U.S. House · Virginia · 2026

Virginia District 10 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Virginia District 10

← All 2026 races

Race header

U.S. House, Virginia District 10 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Suhas Subramanyam incumbent
93%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Ahsen Mujeeb Malik
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Dave T. Beckwith
7%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSuhas Subramanyam

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
93% Suhas Subramanyam · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Suhas Subramanyam 93%
REP Dave T. Beckwith 7%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+6 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 52.3% 2024 general · margin 4.6%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMSubramanyamINDMalikREPBeckwith
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Suhas Subramanyam$1,707,804.06
Ahsen Mujeeb MalikNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Dave T. Beckwith$256,489.11
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Suhas Subramanyam$1,052,604.44
Ahsen Mujeeb MalikNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Dave T. Beckwith$232,678.00
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Suhas Subramanyam$746,033.06
Ahsen Mujeeb MalikNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Dave T. Beckwith$31,847.36
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Suhas SubramanyamNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Ahsen Mujeeb MalikNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Dave T. BeckwithNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Suhas SubramanyamD+6seat-level
Ahsen Mujeeb MalikD+6seat-level
Dave T. BeckwithD+6seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+6
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +5.875

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Suhas SubramanyamDEM215,13152.28%
    Mike W. ClancyREP196,34347.72%

    Total votes 411,474 · winning margin 4.57% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

    Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.