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Race · U.S. House · New York · 2026

New York District 8 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, New York District 8

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Race header

U.S. House, New York District 8 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Hakeem S. Jeffries incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Lewis Mizrahi
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentHakeem S. Jeffries

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Hakeem S. Jeffries · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Hakeem S. Jeffries >99%
REP Lewis Mizrahi <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+27 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 75.4% 2024 general · margin 50.8%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMJeffriesREPMizrahi
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Hakeem S. Jeffries$17,893,352.11
Lewis MizrahiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Hakeem S. Jeffries$18,613,068.43
Lewis MizrahiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Hakeem S. Jeffries$4,234,848.33
Lewis MizrahiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Hakeem S. JeffriesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Lewis MizrahiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Hakeem S. JeffriesD+27seat-level
Lewis MizrahiD+27seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+27
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +27.324

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Hakeem S. JeffriesDEM168,03675.39%
    John J. DelaneyREP54,86324.61%

    Total votes 222,899 · winning margin 50.77% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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