Race header
DEMNominee
Andrew Sneed
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Dale W. Strong
incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDale W. Strong
Hume Outlook
97% Dale W. Strong · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Dale W. Strong
97%
DEM
Andrew Sneed
3%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMSneedREPStrong
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Andrew Sneed$917,289.53
Dale W. Strong$1,775,618.30
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Andrew Sneed$669,482.59
Dale W. Strong$1,350,423.81
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Andrew Sneed$247,806.94
Dale W. Strong$1,054,171.91
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Andrew SneedNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Dale W. StrongNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Andrew SneedNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Dale W. StrongNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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