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Race · U.S. House · Tennessee · 2026

Tennessee District 1 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Tennessee District 1

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Race header

U.S. House, Tennessee District 1 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Kristi Burke
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Billy Cody
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Chris Campbell
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Joshua Ray Ashburn
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Richard Baker
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Tyler McClain
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Diana Harshbarger incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDiana Harshbarger

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Diana Harshbarger · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Diana Harshbarger 99%
DEM Kristi Burke 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

7 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMBurkeINDCodyINDCampbellINDAshburnINDBakerINDMcclainREPHarshbarger
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Kristi Burke$222,584.71
Billy CodyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Chris CampbellNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Joshua Ray AshburnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Richard BakerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Tyler McClainNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Diana Harshbarger$1,536,325.23
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Kristi Burke$195,266.77
Billy CodyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Chris CampbellNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Joshua Ray AshburnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Richard BakerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Tyler McClainNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Diana Harshbarger$1,088,394.36
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Kristi Burke$27,317.94
Billy CodyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Chris CampbellNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Joshua Ray AshburnNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Richard BakerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Tyler McClainNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Diana Harshbarger$1,898,700.00
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Kristi BurkeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Billy CodyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Chris CampbellNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Joshua Ray AshburnNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Richard BakerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Tyler McClainNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Diana HarshbargerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Kristi BurkeNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Billy CodyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Chris CampbellNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Joshua Ray AshburnNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Richard BakerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Tyler McClainNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Diana HarshbargerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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