GA-12 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Georgia District 12 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Ceretta Smith

17%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Rick W. Allen incumbent

83%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentRick W. Allen

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

83% Rick W. Allen · RepublicanChance to win the seat, including a runoff if no one reaches a majority

REP Rick W. Allen 83%

DEM Ceretta Smith 17%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+8 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 60.3% 2024 general · margin 20.6%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMSmithREPAllen

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Ceretta Smith$47,692.67

Rick W. Allen$1,265,488.08

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Ceretta Smith$35,471.85

Rick W. Allen$975,580.08

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Ceretta Smith$12,318.39

Rick W. Allen$1,464,864.66

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Ceretta SmithNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Rick W. AllenNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Ceretta SmithR+8seat-level

Rick W. AllenR+8seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+8

Lean (D minus R, points): -7.569

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Rick W. Allen	REP	205,849	60.32%
Elizabeth “Liz” Johnson	DEM	135,417	39.68%

Total votes 341,266 · winning margin 20.64% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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