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Race · U.S. Senate · Colorado · 2026

Colorado · U.S. Senate · 2026

Seat U.S. Senate, Class 2

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Race header

U.S. Senate, Class 2 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
John Hickenlooper incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Blake Huber
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Adam Withrow
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Bob Chew
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Christopher Baum
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Mark Baisley
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJohn Hickenlooper

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
98% John Hickenlooper · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM John Hickenlooper 98%
REP Mark Baisley 2%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+6 cycles 2020, 2024
Prior result, this seat DEM 53.5% 2020 general · margin 9.3%

Side by side

6 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMHickenlooperLIBHuberOTHWithrowOTHChewOTHBaumREPBaisley
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
John Hickenlooper$9,529,276.87
Blake HuberNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Adam WithrowNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Bob ChewNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher BaumNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Mark Baisley$138,210.47
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
John Hickenlooper$9,406,081.95
Blake HuberNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Adam WithrowNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Bob ChewNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher BaumNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Mark Baisley$110,837.45
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
John Hickenlooper$1,558,827.90
Blake HuberNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Adam WithrowNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Bob ChewNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher BaumNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Mark Baisley$27,709.93
Latest pollpercent, as stored
John HickenlooperNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Blake HuberNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Adam WithrowNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Bob ChewNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Christopher BaumNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Mark BaisleyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
John HickenlooperD+6seat-level
Blake HuberD+6seat-level
Adam WithrowD+6seat-level
Bob ChewD+6seat-level
Christopher BaumD+6seat-level
Mark BaisleyD+6seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2024
    D+6
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +5.821
    Presidential cycles
    2020, 2024
    Computed
    2026-06-08

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the state, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2020 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    John HickenlooperDEM1,731,11453.50%
    Cory GardnerREP1,429,49244.18%
    Raymon Anthony DoaneLIB56,2621.74%
    Daniel DoyleOTH9,8200.30%
    Stephan “Seku” EvansOTH8,9710.28%
    Bruce LohmillerGRN710.00%
    Danny SkellyOTH550.00%
    Michael SanchezOTH50.00%

    Total votes 3,235,790 · winning margin 9.32% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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