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Race · U.S. House · Kansas · 2026

Kansas District 2 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Kansas District 2

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Race header

U.S. House, Kansas District 2 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Don Coover
16%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
John Hauer
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Derek Schmidt incumbent
84%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDerek Schmidt

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
84% Derek Schmidt · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Derek Schmidt 84%
DEM Don Coover 16%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+11 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 57.1% 2024 general · margin 18.9%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMCooverLIBHauerREPSchmidt
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Don Coover$1,363,193.30
John HauerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Derek Schmidt$1,772,988.97
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Don Coover$1,131,517.50
John HauerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Derek Schmidt$1,353,904.34
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Don Coover$231,675.80
John HauerNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Derek Schmidt$457,585.77
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Don CooverNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
John HauerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Derek SchmidtNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Don CooverR+11seat-level
John HauerR+11seat-level
Derek SchmidtR+11seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+11
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -10.849

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Derek SchmidtREP172,84757.09%
    Nancy BoydaDEM115,68538.21%
    John HauerLIB14,2294.70%

    Total votes 302,761 · winning margin 18.88% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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