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Race · U.S. House · Ohio · 2026

Ohio District 4 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Ohio District 4

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Race header

U.S. House, Ohio District 4 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Joshua D. Kolasinski
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Tracey L. Tackett
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Jim Jordan incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJim Jordan

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
98% Jim Jordan · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Jim Jordan 98%
DEM Joshua D. Kolasinski 2%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMKolasinskiINDTackettREPJordan
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Joshua D. Kolasinski$26,211.45
Tracey L. TackettNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jim Jordan$5,617,701.79
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Joshua D. Kolasinski$22,361.54
Tracey L. TackettNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jim Jordan$10,052,719.40
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Joshua D. Kolasinski$3,849.91
Tracey L. TackettNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jim Jordan$3,051,862.98
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Joshua D. KolasinskiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Tracey L. TackettNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jim JordanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Joshua D. KolasinskiNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Tracey L. TackettNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Jim JordanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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