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Race · U.S. House · Nevada · 2026

Nevada District 4 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Nevada District 4

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Race header

U.S. House, Nevada District 4 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Steven Horsford incumbent
92%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
William Johnson
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Russell Best
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Cody K. Whipple
8%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSteven Horsford

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
92% Steven Horsford · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Steven Horsford 92%
REP Cody K. Whipple 8%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+3 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 52.7% 2024 general · margin 8.1%

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMHorsfordINDJohnsonOTHBestREPWhipple
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Steven Horsford$4,077,555.45
William JohnsonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Russell BestNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cody K. Whipple$1,217,196.83
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Steven Horsford$3,262,013.09
William JohnsonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Russell BestNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cody K. Whipple$1,150,817.44
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Steven Horsford$821,832.87
William JohnsonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Russell BestNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cody K. Whipple$66,379.39
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Steven HorsfordNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
William JohnsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Russell BestNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Cody K. WhippleNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Steven HorsfordD+3seat-level
William JohnsonD+3seat-level
Russell BestD+3seat-level
Cody K. WhippleD+3seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+3
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +2.736

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Steven HorsfordDEM174,92652.66%
    John LeeREP148,06144.57%
    Russell BestOTH4,9191.48%
    Tim “T J” FerreiraLIB4,3001.29%

    Total votes 332,206 · winning margin 8.09% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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