Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Lou Correa
incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
David Pan
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentLou Correa
Hume Outlook
98% Lou Correa · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Lou Correa
98%
REP
David Pan
2%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMCorreaREPPan
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Lou Correa$1,493,328.69
David Pan$104,144.51
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Lou Correa$1,037,296.17
David Pan$105,168.47
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Lou Correa$2,323,395.15
David Pan$1,856.37
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Lou CorreaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
David PanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Lou CorreaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
David PanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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