IL-08 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Illinois District 8 · Open seat

DEMNominee

Melissa Bean

96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Jennifer Davis

4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

96% Melissa Bean · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Melissa Bean 96%

REP Jennifer Davis 4%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+6 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 57.1% 2024 general · margin 14.1%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMBeanREPDavis

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Melissa Bean$2,457,207.28

Jennifer Davis$1,782,174.57

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Melissa Bean$2,155,493.75

Jennifer Davis$1,502,427.60

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Melissa Bean$301,713.53

Jennifer Davis$279,746.97

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Melissa BeanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Jennifer DavisNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Melissa BeanD+6seat-level

Jennifer DavisD+6seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+6

Lean (D minus R, points): +6.147

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Raja Krishnamoorthi	DEM	172,920	57.06%
Mark Rice	REP	130,153	42.94%

Total votes 303,073 · winning margin 14.11% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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