Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Raul Ruiz
incumbent
96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Joe Males
4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRaul Ruiz
Hume Outlook
96% Raul Ruiz · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Raul Ruiz
96%
REP
Joe Males
4%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMRuizREPMales
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Raul Ruiz$2,455,630.94
Joe Males$1,114,056.44
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Raul Ruiz$1,691,465.74
Joe Males$1,056,061.74
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Raul Ruiz$2,466,904.60
Joe Males$57,994.70
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Raul RuizNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Joe MalesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Raul RuizNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Joe MalesNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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