GA-10 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Georgia District 10 · Open seat

DEMNominee

Pamela Pam DeLancy

3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Houston Gaines

97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

97% Houston Gaines · RepublicanChance to win the seat, including a runoff if no one reaches a majority

REP Houston Gaines 97%

DEM Pamela Pam DeLancy 3%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+14 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 63.0% 2024 general · margin 26.1%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMDelancyREPGaines

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Pamela Pam DeLancy$78,669.71

Houston Gaines$2,816,583.39

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Pamela Pam DeLancy$44,421.38

Houston Gaines$1,754,504.58

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Pamela Pam DeLancy$24,291.66

Houston Gaines$1,062,078.81

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Pamela Pam DeLancyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Houston GainesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Pamela Pam DeLancyR+14seat-level

Houston GainesR+14seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+14

Lean (D minus R, points): -13.737

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Mike Collins	REP	256,442	63.05%
Alexandra “Lexy” Doherty	DEM	150,274	36.95%

Total votes 406,716 · winning margin 26.10% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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