Race header
DEMNominee
Maurice Mercer
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Gary J. Palmer
incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentGary J. Palmer
Hume Outlook
98% Gary J. Palmer · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Gary J. Palmer
98%
DEM
Maurice Mercer
2%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMercerREPPalmer
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Maurice Mercer$34,751.45
Gary J. Palmer$1,154,752.83
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Maurice Mercer$20,564.56
Gary J. Palmer$1,233,609.92
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Maurice Mercer$14,186.89
Gary J. Palmer$74,382.23
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Maurice MercerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Gary J. PalmerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Maurice MercerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Gary J. PalmerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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