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Race · U.S. House · Arkansas · 2026

Arkansas District 3 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Arkansas District 3

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Race header

U.S. House, Arkansas District 3 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Robb Ryerse
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Bobby Wilson
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Steve Womack incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSteve Womack

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
97% Steve Womack · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Steve Womack 97%
DEM Robb Ryerse 3%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+15 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat REP 63.8% 2024 general · margin 32.0%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMRyerseLIBWilsonREPWomack
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Robb Ryerse$160,833.51
Bobby WilsonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Steve Womack$2,363,074.02
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Robb Ryerse$146,133.96
Bobby WilsonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Steve Womack$1,668,235.49
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Robb Ryerse$14,699.55
Bobby WilsonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Steve Womack$2,410,732.19
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Robb RyerseNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Bobby WilsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Steve WomackNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Robb RyerseR+15seat-level
Bobby WilsonR+15seat-level
Steve WomackR+15seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    R+15
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    -15.117

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Steve WomackREP192,10163.80%
    Caitlin DraperDEM95,65231.77%
    Bobby WilsonLIB13,3314.43%

    Total votes 301,084 · winning margin 32.03% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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