Race header
DEMNominee
Dan Koh
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Micah Quinney Jones
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
98% Dan Koh · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Dan Koh
98%
REP
Micah Quinney Jones
2%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
D+11
as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat
DEM 100.0%
2024 general · margin not in file
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMKohREPJones
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Dan Koh$5,383,420.65
Micah Quinney Jones$619,903.76
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Dan Koh$4,302,769.83
Micah Quinney Jones$450,121.61
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Dan Koh$1,081,990.54
Micah Quinney Jones$169,782.15
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Dan KohNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Micah Quinney JonesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Dan KohD+11seat-level
Micah Quinney JonesD+11seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
D+11
- Lean (D minus R, points)
- +10.739
Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.
Prior result, this seat
2024 general
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Moulton | DEM | 321,186 | 100.00% |
Total votes 321,186 · winning margin Not available of total
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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