Influence no longer invisible Races · MA-06 House 2026
Hidden Levers
Race · U.S. House · Massachusetts · 2026

Massachusetts District 6 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Massachusetts District 6

← All 2026 races

Race header

U.S. House, Massachusetts District 6 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Dan Koh
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Micah Quinney Jones
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
98% Dan Koh · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Dan Koh 98%
REP Micah Quinney Jones 2%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+11 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 100.0% 2024 general · margin not in file

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMKohREPJones
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Dan Koh$5,383,420.65
Micah Quinney Jones$619,903.76
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Dan Koh$4,302,769.83
Micah Quinney Jones$450,121.61
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Dan Koh$1,081,990.54
Micah Quinney Jones$169,782.15
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Dan KohNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Micah Quinney JonesNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Dan KohD+11seat-level
Micah Quinney JonesD+11seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+11
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +10.739

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Seth MoultonDEM321,186100.00%

    Total votes 321,186 · winning margin Not available of total

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

    Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.