Influence no longer invisible Races · TX-18 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Texas · 2026

Texas District 18 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Texas District 18

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Race header

U.S. House, Texas District 18 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Christian Dashaun Menefee incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Ronald Dwayne Whitfield
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentChristian Dashaun Menefee

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Christian Dashaun Menefee · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Christian Dashaun Menefee >99%
REP Ronald Dwayne Whitfield <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMMenefeeREPWhitfield
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Christian Dashaun Menefee$3,761,777.28
Ronald Dwayne WhitfieldNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Christian Dashaun Menefee$3,684,091.86
Ronald Dwayne WhitfieldNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Christian Dashaun Menefee$77,685.42
Ronald Dwayne WhitfieldNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Christian Dashaun MenefeeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Ronald Dwayne WhitfieldNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Christian Dashaun MenefeeNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Ronald Dwayne WhitfieldNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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