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Race · U.S. House · New Jersey · 2026

New Jersey District 12 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, New Jersey District 12

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Race header

U.S. House, New Jersey District 12 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Adam Hamawy
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Andres Jinete
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Winston Jordan
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Gregg Mele
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% Adam Hamawy · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Adam Hamawy 99%
REP Gregg Mele 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+15 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 61.2% 2024 general · margin 24.8%

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMHamawyGRNJineteOTHJordanREPMele
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Adam Hamawy$1,993,156.58
Andres JineteNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Winston JordanNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gregg Mele$101,520.99
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Adam Hamawy$1,753,311.27
Andres JineteNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Winston JordanNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gregg Mele$87,955.05
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Adam Hamawy$239,845.31
Andres JineteNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Winston JordanNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gregg Mele$13,565.94
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Adam HamawyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Andres JineteNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Winston JordanNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Gregg MeleNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Adam HamawyD+15seat-level
Andres JineteD+15seat-level
Winston JordanD+15seat-level
Gregg MeleD+15seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+15
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +15.222

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Bonnie Watson ColemanDEM196,87161.20%
    Darius MayfieldREP117,22236.44%
    Kim MeudtGRN4,6521.45%
    Vic KaplanLIB2,9150.91%

    Total votes 321,660 · winning margin 24.76% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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