GA-08 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Georgia District 8 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Kelly Esti

2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Austin Scott incumbent

98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentAustin Scott

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

98% Austin Scott · RepublicanChance to win the seat, including a runoff if no one reaches a majority

REP Austin Scott 98%

DEM Kelly Esti 2%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+16 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 68.9% 2024 general · margin 37.8%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-09-30, 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMEstiREPScott

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Kelly Esti$27,962.90through 2026-09-30

Austin Scott$1,416,650.98through 2026-10-14

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Kelly Esti$28,913.89through 2026-09-30

Austin Scott$1,080,760.65through 2026-10-14

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Kelly Esti$3,709.27through 2026-09-30

Austin Scott$1,316,055.88through 2026-10-14

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Kelly EstiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Austin ScottNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Kelly EstiR+16seat-level

Austin ScottR+16seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+16

Lean (D minus R, points): -16.424

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Austin Scott	REP	231,547	68.92%
Darrius Butler	DEM	104,434	31.08%

Total votes 335,981 · winning margin 37.83% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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