NY-06 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, New York District 6 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Grace Meng incumbent

99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Joseph Chou

1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentGrace Meng

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

99% Grace Meng · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates

DEM Grace Meng 99%

REP Joseph Chou 1%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+15 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat DEM 60.7% 2024 general · margin 23.1%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMMengREPChou

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Grace Meng$2,199,074.16

Joseph Chou$2,578.08

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Grace Meng$2,402,835.03

Joseph Chou$602.49

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Grace Meng$765,124.94

Joseph Chou$4,096.83

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Grace MengNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Joseph ChouNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Grace MengD+15seat-level

Joseph ChouD+15seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

D+15

Lean (D minus R, points): +14.870

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Grace Meng	DEM	120,205	60.70%
Thomas J. Zmich	REP	74,559	37.65%
Joseph J. Chou	OTH	3,272	1.65%

Total votes 198,036 · winning margin 23.05% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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