OR-02 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Oregon District 2 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Chris Beck

4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

Cliff Bentz incumbent

96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentCliff Bentz

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

96% Cliff Bentz · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP Cliff Bentz 96%

DEM Chris Beck 4%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+15 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 63.9% 2024 general · margin 31.1%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMBeckREPBentz

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Chris Beck$276,514.73

Cliff Bentz$1,339,191.81

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Chris Beck$163,848.98

Cliff Bentz$955,440.24

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Chris Beck$112,665.75

Cliff Bentz$1,440,096.37

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Chris BeckNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Cliff BentzNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Chris BeckR+15seat-level

Cliff BentzR+15seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+15

Lean (D minus R, points): -15.476

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
Cliff Bentz	REP	224,601	63.90%
Dan Ruby	DEM	115,337	32.81%
Michael Kurt Stettler	OTH	11,255	3.20%
Miscellaneous	OTH	296	0.08%

Total votes 351,489 · winning margin 31.09% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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