Race header
DEMNominee
Greg Landsman
incumbent
86%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Nathan Weise
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Eric Conroy
14%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentGreg Landsman
Hume Outlook
86% Greg Landsman · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Greg Landsman
86%
REP
Eric Conroy
14%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Landsman 47.9% · Conroy 44.6%
Quantus Insights · 2026-08-24
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMLandsmanLIBWeiseREPConroy
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Greg Landsman$5,662,206.21
Nathan WeiseNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Conroy$2,372,636.84
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Greg Landsman$5,339,369.61
Nathan WeiseNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Conroy$2,079,239.74
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Greg Landsman$502,951.51
Nathan WeiseNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Eric Conroy$293,397.10
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Greg Landsman47.9%Quantus Insights · 2026-08-24
Nathan WeiseNot available Not named in the newest listed poll (2026-08-24)
Eric Conroy44.6%Quantus Insights · 2026-08-24
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Greg LandsmanNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Nathan WeiseNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Eric ConroyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
1 listed · newest first| Pollster / sponsor | Field dates | Sample | Landsman | Weise | Conroy | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | 2026-08-21 to 2026-08-24 | LV · n=509 | 47.9% | not named | 44.6% | none |
Polling data CC BY 4.0 (FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub).
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Polls: FiveThirtyEight / VoteHub (CC BY 4.0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.