PA-13 House 2026 · Hidden Levers

Race header

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 13 · Incumbent running

DEMNominee

Beth Farnham

1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

REPNominee

John Joyce incumbent

99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28

IncumbentJohn Joyce

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026

99% John Joyce · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates

REP John Joyce 99%

DEM Beth Farnham 1%

Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets

Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI) R+25 as of cycle 2020

Prior result, this seat REP 74.2% 2024 general · margin 48.4%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures

FEC summary through 2026-10-14

MeasureDEMFarnhamREPJoyce

Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees

Beth Farnham$107,708.27

John Joyce$2,755,439.79

Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date

Beth Farnham$83,377.82

John Joyce$1,767,999.82

Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period

Beth Farnham$25,091.68

John Joyce$3,587,578.06

Latest pollpercent, as stored

Beth FarnhamNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

John JoyceNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate

Beth FarnhamR+25seat-level

John JoyceR+25seat-level

Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

Seat lean · Hume PVI

as of cycle 2020

R+25

Lean (D minus R, points): -25.152

Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

Prior result, this seat

election returns

2024 general

Candidate	Party	Votes	% of total
John Joyce	REP	301,460	74.20%
Beth Farnham	DEM	104,823	25.80%

Total votes 406,283 · winning margin 48.40% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.