Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Sam Liccardo
incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Peter Sundin Soulé
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSam Liccardo
Hume Outlook
99% Sam Liccardo · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Sam Liccardo
99%
REP
Peter Sundin Soulé
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMLiccardoREPSoulé
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Sam Liccardo$3,873,149.95
Peter Sundin Soulé$4,272.00
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Sam Liccardo$1,703,882.75
Peter Sundin Soulé$146.78
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Sam Liccardo$2,259,659.30
Peter Sundin Soulé$4,125.22
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Sam LiccardoNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Peter Sundin SouléNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Sam LiccardoNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Peter Sundin SouléNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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