Race header
DEMNominee
Elizabeth Kirtley
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Michael A. Rulli
incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMichael A. Rulli
Hume Outlook
97% Michael A. Rulli · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Michael A. Rulli
97%
DEM
Elizabeth Kirtley
3%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMKirtleyREPRulli
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Elizabeth Kirtley$11,431.98
Michael A. Rulli$1,419,956.80
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Elizabeth Kirtley$7,058.77
Michael A. Rulli$1,072,960.62
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Elizabeth Kirtley$4,373.21
Michael A. Rulli$417,633.29
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Elizabeth KirtleyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Michael A. RulliNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Elizabeth KirtleyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Michael A. RulliNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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