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Race · U.S. House · Indiana · 2026

Indiana District 7 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Indiana District 7

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Race header

U.S. House, Indiana District 7 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
André Carson incumbent
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
James Sceniak
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Patrick McAuley
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentAndré Carson

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
99% André Carson · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM André Carson 99%
REP Patrick McAuley 1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+19 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 68.3% 2024 general · margin 39.4%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMCarsonLIBSceniakREPMcauley
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
André Carson$1,131,715.00
James SceniakNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patrick McAuleyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
André Carson$1,022,618.65
James SceniakNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patrick McAuleyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
André Carson$558,519.56
James SceniakNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patrick McAuleyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
André CarsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
James SceniakNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Patrick McAuleyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
André CarsonD+19seat-level
James SceniakD+19seat-level
Patrick McAuleyD+19seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+19
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +18.820

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    André CarsonDEM185,98768.34%
    John P. SchmitzREP78,79228.95%
    Rusty JohnsonLIB7,3692.71%

    Total votes 272,148 · winning margin 39.39% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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