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Race · U.S. House · Michigan · 2026

Michigan District 12 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Michigan District 12

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Race header

U.S. House, Michigan District 12 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Rashida Tlaib incumbent
>99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Brenda K. Sanders
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Gary Walkowicz
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Marc Joseph Sosnowski
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
James D. Hooper
<1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRashida Tlaib

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
>99% Rashida Tlaib · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Rashida Tlaib >99%
REP James D. Hooper <1%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+23 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 69.7% 2024 general · margin 44.2%

Side by side

5 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMTlaibGRNSandersOTHWalkowiczOTHSosnowskiREPHooper
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Rashida Tlaib$3,255,577.41
Brenda K. SandersNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gary WalkowiczNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Marc Joseph SosnowskiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
James D. Hooper$2,002.05
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Rashida Tlaib$4,480,958.91
Brenda K. SandersNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gary WalkowiczNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Marc Joseph SosnowskiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
James D. Hooper$3,249.83
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Rashida Tlaib$3,038,173.48
Brenda K. SandersNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Gary WalkowiczNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Marc Joseph SosnowskiNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
James D. Hooper$7,769.12
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Rashida TlaibNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Brenda K. SandersNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Gary WalkowiczNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Marc Joseph SosnowskiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
James D. HooperNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Rashida TlaibD+23seat-level
Brenda K. SandersD+23seat-level
Gary WalkowiczD+23seat-level
Marc Joseph SosnowskiD+23seat-level
James D. HooperD+23seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+23
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +22.620

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Rashida TlaibDEM253,35469.70%
    James D. HooperREP92,49025.44%
    Gary WalkowiczOTH9,4012.59%
    Brenda K. SandersGRN8,2542.27%

    Total votes 363,499 · winning margin 44.25% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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