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Race · U.S. House · New Jersey · 2026

New Jersey District 9 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, New Jersey District 9

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Race header

U.S. House, New Jersey District 9 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Nellie Pou incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Terrisa Bukovinac
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Rosie Pino
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNellie Pou

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
94% Nellie Pou · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Nellie Pou 94%
REP Rosie Pino 6%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+7 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 50.8% 2024 general · margin 4.9%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMPouOTHBukovinacREPPino
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Nellie Pou$3,131,321.73
Terrisa BukovinacNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rosie Pino$548,325.95
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Nellie Pou$2,203,295.30
Terrisa BukovinacNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rosie Pino$535,193.39
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Nellie Pou$1,080,499.99
Terrisa BukovinacNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rosie Pino$13,132.56
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Nellie PouNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Terrisa BukovinacNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Rosie PinoNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Nellie PouD+7seat-level
Terrisa BukovinacD+7seat-level
Rosie PinoD+7seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+7
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +7.099

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Nellie PouDEM130,51450.78%
    Billy PrempehREP117,93945.89%
    Benjamin TaylorGRN5,0271.96%
    Bruno PereiraLIB3,5331.37%

    Total votes 257,013 · winning margin 4.89% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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