Race header
DEMNominee
Claire Reynolds
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
August Pfluger
incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentAugust Pfluger
Hume Outlook
97% August Pfluger · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
August Pfluger
97%
DEM
Claire Reynolds
3%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMReynoldsREPPfluger
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Claire Reynolds$128,534.75
August Pfluger$3,609,434.17
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Claire Reynolds$72,765.59
August Pfluger$3,903,716.14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Claire Reynolds$55,769.16
August Pfluger$2,029,823.57
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Claire ReynoldsNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
August PflugerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Claire ReynoldsNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
August PflugerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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