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Race · U.S. House · Nevada · 2026

Nevada District 3 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Nevada District 3

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Race header

U.S. House, Nevada District 3 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Susie Lee incumbent
86%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Jon Kamerath
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Marty O'Donnell
14%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentSusie Lee

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
86% Susie Lee · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Susie Lee 86%
REP Marty O'Donnell 14%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+2 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 51.4% 2024 general · margin 2.7%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMLeeOTHKamerathREPO'Donnell
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Susie Lee$5,942,431.93
Jon KamerathNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Marty O'Donnell$4,864,562.94
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Susie Lee$5,477,792.77
Jon KamerathNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Marty O'Donnell$4,680,013.95
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Susie Lee$931,293.70
Jon KamerathNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Marty O'Donnell$184,548.99
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Susie LeeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jon KamerathNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Marty O'DonnellNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Susie LeeD+2seat-level
Jon KamerathD+2seat-level
Marty O'DonnellD+2seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+2
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +1.536

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Susie LeeDEM191,30451.37%
    Drew JohnsonREP181,08448.63%

    Total votes 372,388 · winning margin 2.74% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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