Race header
DEMNominee
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher
incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Espoir Ngabo
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Alexander Hale
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentLizzie Pannill Fletcher
Hume Outlook
98% Lizzie Pannill Fletcher · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher
98%
REP
Alexander Hale
2%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
3 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMFletcherGRNNgaboREPHale
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher$1,846,897.72through 2026-10-14
Espoir Ngabo$3,132.88through 2026-09-30
Alexander Hale$115,678.12through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher$1,670,749.69through 2026-10-14
Espoir Ngabo$3,125.00through 2026-09-30
Alexander Hale$96,559.10through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Lizzie Pannill Fletcher$1,492,809.82through 2026-10-14
Espoir Ngabo$0.00through 2026-09-30
Alexander Hale$19,119.02through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Lizzie Pannill FletcherNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Espoir NgaboNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Alexander HaleNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Lizzie Pannill FletcherNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Espoir NgaboNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Alexander HaleNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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