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Race · U.S. House · Oregon · 2026

Oregon District 5 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Oregon District 5

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Race header

U.S. House, Oregon District 5 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Janelle S. Bynum incumbent
87%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Andrea Townsend
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Patti Adair
13%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJanelle S. Bynum

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
87% Janelle S. Bynum · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Janelle S. Bynum 87%
REP Patti Adair 13%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+2 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 47.7% 2024 general · margin 2.7%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMBynumGRNTownsendREPAdair
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Janelle S. Bynum$4,737,331.62
Andrea TownsendNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patti Adair$682,238.95
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Janelle S. Bynum$2,606,483.07
Andrea TownsendNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patti Adair$559,654.31
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Janelle S. Bynum$2,175,981.11
Andrea TownsendNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Patti Adair$122,584.64
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Janelle S. BynumNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Andrea TownsendNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Patti AdairNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Janelle S. BynumD+2seat-level
Andrea TownsendD+2seat-level
Patti AdairD+2seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+2
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +1.565

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Janelle S. BynumDEM191,36547.69%
    Lori Chavez-DeremerREP180,42044.96%
    Brett SmithOTH18,6654.65%
    Sonja FeintechLIB6,1931.54%
    Andrea Thorn TownsendGRN4,1551.04%
    MiscellaneousOTH4950.12%

    Total votes 401,293 · winning margin 2.73% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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