Influence no longer invisible Races · WA-10 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Washington · 2026

Washington District 10 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Washington District 10

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Race header

U.S. House, Washington District 10 · Incumbent running
DEMAdvanced to the general
Marilyn Strickland incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Chris D. Chung
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentMarilyn Strickland

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
97% Marilyn Strickland · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Marilyn Strickland 97%
REP Chris D. Chung 3%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+7 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 58.7% 2024 general · margin 17.4%

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMStricklandREPChung
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Marilyn Strickland$1,892,575.68
Chris D. ChungNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Marilyn Strickland$1,864,401.08
Chris D. ChungNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Marilyn Strickland$608,762.35
Chris D. ChungNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Marilyn StricklandNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Chris D. ChungNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Marilyn StricklandD+7seat-level
Chris D. ChungD+7seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+7
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +6.588

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Marilyn StricklandDEM203,73258.67%
    Don HewettREP143,49241.33%

    Total votes 347,224 · winning margin 17.35% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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