Race header
DEMAdvanced to the general
Mike McGuire
96%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
James Gallagher
incumbent
4%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentJames Gallagher
Hume Outlook
96% Mike McGuire · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM
Mike McGuire
96%
REP
James Gallagher
4%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMMcguireREPGallagher
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Mike McGuire$2,266,830.12
James Gallagher$1,995,260.11
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Mike McGuire$2,113,183.62
James Gallagher$1,667,530.88
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Mike McGuire$153,646.50
James Gallagher$327,729.23
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Mike McGuireNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
James GallagherNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Mike McGuireNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
James GallagherNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
Federal law prohibits the sale or use of contributor information copied from FEC reports, by any person, for the purpose of soliciting contributions (including charitable contributions) or for any commercial purpose. 52 U.S.C. §30111(a)(4); 11 C.F.R. §104.15. Hidden Levers does not provide contributor contact information.