Race header
DEMNominee
Kyle Rable
1%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Tom Sell
99%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
99% Tom Sell · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Tom Sell
99%
DEM
Kyle Rable
1%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMRableREPSell
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Kyle Rable$49,029.91
Tom Sell$2,502,266.26
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Kyle Rable$39,878.60
Tom Sell$2,234,259.45
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Kyle Rable$6,317.07
Tom Sell$268,006.81
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Kyle RableNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Tom SellNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Kyle RableNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Tom SellNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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