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Race · U.S. House · Tennessee · 2026

Tennessee District 6 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Tennessee District 6

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Race header

U.S. House, Tennessee District 6 · Open seat
DEMNominee
Mike Croley
5%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Angus Purdy
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Christopher B. Monday
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Johnny Garrett
95%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
95% Johnny Garrett · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Johnny Garrett 95%
DEM Mike Croley 5%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

4 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMCroleyINDPurdyINDMondayREPGarrett
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Mike Croley$117,167.70
Angus PurdyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher B. MondayNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Johnny Garrett$3,000,586.11
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Mike Croley$103,075.69
Angus PurdyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher B. MondayNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Johnny Garrett$2,657,168.12
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Mike Croley$14,341.64
Angus PurdyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher B. MondayNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Johnny Garrett$343,417.99
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Mike CroleyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Angus PurdyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Christopher B. MondayNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Johnny GarrettNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Mike CroleyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Angus PurdyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Christopher B. MondayNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Johnny GarrettNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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