Race header
DEMNominee
Rhonda Hart
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Brian Babin
incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentBrian Babin
Hume Outlook
94% Brian Babin · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Brian Babin
94%
DEM
Rhonda Hart
6%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMHartREPBabin
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Rhonda Hart$24,315.62through 2026-09-30
Brian Babin$1,201,013.89through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Rhonda Hart$19,570.52through 2026-09-30
Brian Babin$918,916.66through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Rhonda Hart$5,935.10through 2026-09-30
Brian Babin$928,299.88through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Rhonda HartNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Brian BabinNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Rhonda HartNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Brian BabinNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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