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Race · U.S. House · North Carolina · 2026

North Carolina District 13 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, North Carolina District 13

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Race header

U.S. House, North Carolina District 13 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Paul Barringer
20%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Steven Swinton
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Brad Knott incumbent
80%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentBrad Knott

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
80% Brad Knott · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Brad Knott 80%
DEM Paul Barringer 20%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMBarringerLIBSwintonREPKnott
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Paul Barringer$1,215,150.98
Steven SwintonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Brad Knott$1,697,075.23
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Paul Barringer$805,628.54
Steven SwintonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Brad Knott$1,094,864.35
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Paul Barringer$409,522.44
Steven SwintonNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Brad Knott$619,470.98
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Paul BarringerNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Steven SwintonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Brad KnottNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Paul BarringerNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Steven SwintonNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Brad KnottNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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