Race header
DEMNominee
Christian Vukasovich
5%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
GRNOn the ballot
Jim Bronke
—Not published for this candidate
LIBOn the ballot
Ronald A Muszynski
—Not published for this candidate
OTHOn the ballot
Sharon Marie Renier
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Tim Walberg
incumbent
95%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentTim Walberg
Hume Outlook
95% Tim Walberg · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Tim Walberg
95%
DEM
Christian Vukasovich
5%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
R+15
as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat
REP 65.7%
2024 general · margin 32.9%
Side by side
5 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMVukasovichGRNBronkeLIBMuszynskiOTHRenierREPWalberg
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Christian Vukasovich$151,703.92through 2026-10-14
Jim BronkeNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Ronald A Muszynski$1,130.34through 2026-10-03
Sharon Marie RenierNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Tim Walberg$2,220,378.67through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Christian Vukasovich$112,187.98through 2026-10-14
Jim BronkeNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Ronald A Muszynski$578.03through 2026-10-03
Sharon Marie RenierNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Tim Walberg$1,949,864.31through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Christian Vukasovich$39,516.94through 2026-10-14
Jim BronkeNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Ronald A Muszynski$572.31through 2026-10-03
Sharon Marie RenierNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Tim Walberg$1,179,966.16through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Christian VukasovichNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jim BronkeNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Ronald A MuszynskiNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Sharon Marie RenierNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Tim WalbergNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Christian VukasovichR+15seat-level
Jim BronkeR+15seat-level
Ronald A MuszynskiR+15seat-level
Sharon Marie RenierR+15seat-level
Tim WalbergR+15seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
R+15
- Lean (D minus R, points)
- -14.566
Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.
Prior result, this seat
2024 general
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % of total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walberg | REP | 269,215 | 65.68% |
| Libbi Urban | DEM | 134,282 | 32.76% |
| James Bronke | GRN | 6,379 | 1.56% |
Total votes 409,876 · winning margin 32.92% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 3, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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