Race header
DEMNominee
Caitlin Rourk
11%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Chris Gober
89%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentNot available
Hume Outlook
89% Chris Gober · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Chris Gober
89%
DEM
Caitlin Rourk
11%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMRourkREPGober
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Caitlin Rourk$576,475.06
Chris Gober$3,103,392.03
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Caitlin Rourk$497,138.61
Chris Gober$2,937,827.26
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Caitlin Rourk$79,336.45
Chris Gober$165,564.77
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Caitlin RourkNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Chris GoberNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Caitlin RourkNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Chris GoberNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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