Influence no longer invisible Races · CT-03 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Connecticut · 2026

Connecticut District 3 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Connecticut District 3

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Race header

U.S. House, Connecticut District 3 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Rosa L. DeLauro incumbent
97%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
OTHOn the ballot
Thomas Egan
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Christopher Lancia
3%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRosa L. DeLauro

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
97% Rosa L. DeLauro · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Rosa L. DeLauro 97%
REP Christopher Lancia 3%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) D+7 as of cycle 2020
Prior result, this seat DEM 58.9% 2024 general · margin 19.3%

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMDelauroOTHEganREPLancia
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Rosa L. DeLauro$1,622,998.67
Thomas EganNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher Lancia$17,485.75
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Rosa L. DeLauro$1,765,031.64
Thomas EganNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher Lancia$11,243.45
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Rosa L. DeLauro$83,415.12
Thomas EganNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Christopher Lancia$67.54
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Rosa L. DeLauroNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Thomas EganNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Christopher LanciaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Rosa L. DeLauroD+7seat-level
Thomas EganD+7seat-level
Christopher LanciaD+7seat-level
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    as of cycle 2020
    D+7
    Lean (D minus R, points)
    +7.367

    Hume PVI is Hidden Levers' own two-party presidential-lean index for the district, computed on the district's current lines, not the Cook PVI.

    Prior result, this seat

    election returns

    2024 general

    CandidatePartyVotes% of total
    Rosa L. DeLauroDEM193,68458.91%
    Michael MasseyREP130,09539.57%

    Total votes 328,797 · winning margin 19.34% of total (margin computed here from the cited vote counts)

    Percentages are of the MEDSL total, which also counts the Independent line (no candidate named) 5,018; the named-candidate shares are therefore lower than a share of valid candidate votes.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Prior result: MIT Election Data + Science Lab (CC0) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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