Influence no longer invisible Races · TN-03 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · Tennessee · 2026

Tennessee District 3 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Tennessee District 3

← All 2026 races

Race header

U.S. House, Tennessee District 3 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Anna Golladay
2%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
INDOn the ballot
Dean Arnold
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Donnie Lynn Ownby
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Edward John Roland
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Jean Howard-Hill
—Not published for this candidate
INDOn the ballot
Rodney Joe King
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann incumbent
98%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentCharles J. Chuck Fleischmann

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
98% Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann 98%
DEM Anna Golladay 2%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

7 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-09-30, 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMGolladayINDArnoldINDOwnbyINDRolandINDHoward-HillINDKingREPFleischmann
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Anna Golladay$164,743.76through 2026-10-14
Dean ArnoldNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Donnie Lynn OwnbyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Edward John RolandNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jean Howard-HillNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rodney Joe King$7,810.00through 2026-09-30
Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann$2,728,033.85through 2026-10-14
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Anna Golladay$94,778.87through 2026-10-14
Dean ArnoldNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Donnie Lynn OwnbyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Edward John RolandNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jean Howard-HillNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rodney Joe King$7,805.00through 2026-09-30
Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann$1,089,640.82through 2026-10-14
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Anna Golladay$43,309.43through 2026-10-14
Dean ArnoldNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Donnie Lynn OwnbyNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Edward John RolandNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Jean Howard-HillNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Rodney Joe King$5.00through 2026-09-30
Charles J. Chuck Fleischmann$4,895,445.11through 2026-10-14
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Anna GolladayNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Dean ArnoldNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Donnie Lynn OwnbyNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Edward John RolandNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Jean Howard-HillNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Rodney Joe KingNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Charles J. Chuck FleischmannNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Anna GolladayNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Dean ArnoldNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Donnie Lynn OwnbyNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Edward John RolandNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Jean Howard-HillNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Rodney Joe KingNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Charles J. Chuck FleischmannNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Sep 30, 2026 or Oct 14, 2026, by candidate) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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