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Race · U.S. House · Ohio · 2026

Ohio District 5 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, Ohio District 5

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Race header

U.S. House, Ohio District 5 · Incumbent running
DEMNominee
Brian A. Shaver
5%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
LIBOn the ballot
Michael J. Veloff
—Not published for this candidate
REPNominee
Robert E. Latta incumbent
95%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentRobert E. Latta

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
95% Robert E. Latta · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP Robert E. Latta 95%
DEM Brian A. Shaver 5%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

3 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMShaverLIBVeloffREPLatta
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Brian A. Shaver$59,139.52
Michael J. VeloffNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Robert E. Latta$1,772,110.30
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Brian A. Shaver$32,080.80
Michael J. VeloffNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Robert E. Latta$1,569,771.01
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Brian A. Shaver$39,322.55
Michael J. VeloffNot available No FEC summary is available for this candidate.
Robert E. Latta$799,134.37
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Brian A. ShaverNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Michael J. VeloffNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Robert E. LattaNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Brian A. ShaverNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Michael J. VeloffNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Robert E. LattaNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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