Race header
DEMNominee
Vanessa Enoch
9%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPNominee
Warren Davidson
incumbent
91%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentWarren Davidson
Hume Outlook
91% Warren Davidson · RepublicanChance to win, between the two named candidates
REP
Warren Davidson
91%
DEM
Vanessa Enoch
9%
- Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll
Not available
No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)
Not available
The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available
District redrawn; not comparable.
Side by side
2 candidates · 5 measuresMeasureDEMEnochREPDavidson
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Vanessa Enoch$3,125.21
Warren Davidson$757,166.30
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Vanessa Enoch$10,602.39
Warren Davidson$853,593.13
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Vanessa Enoch$-727.22
Warren Davidson$298,274.28
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Vanessa EnochNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Warren DavidsonNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Vanessa EnochNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Warren DavidsonNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.
Polling
0 listed · newest firstNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean · Hume PVI
Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat
Not available District redrawn; not comparable.
Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.
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