Influence no longer invisible Races · CA-45 House 2026
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Race · U.S. House · California · 2026

California District 45 · U.S. House · 2026

Seat U.S. House, California District 45

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Race header

U.S. House, California District 45 · Incumbent running
DEMAdvanced to the general
Derek Tran incumbent
94%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
REPAdvanced to the general
Chuong V. Vo
6%Hume Outlook · Hume model estimate · as of 2026-10-28
IncumbentDerek Tran

Hume Outlook

hume-2026.10-r1 · Forecast as of Oct 28, 2026
94% Derek Tran · DemocratChance to win, between the two named candidates
DEM Derek Tran 94%
REP Chuong V. Vo 6%
  • Hume model estimate · built on polls, fundamentals, and markets
Latest poll Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI) Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Prior result, this seat Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

Side by side

2 candidates · 5 measures
FEC summary through 2026-10-14
MeasureDEMTranREPVo
Total receiptsUSD, cycle to date, all authorized committees
Derek Tran$5,988,192.12
Chuong V. Vo$937,468.52
Total disbursementsUSD, cycle to date
Derek Tran$3,633,122.65
Chuong V. Vo$762,012.87
Cash on handUSD, close of the covered period
Derek Tran$2,682,392.26
Chuong V. Vo$175,455.65
Latest pollpercent, as stored
Derek TranNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Chuong V. VoNot available No public polls of this race in our data yet.
Seat lean (Hume PVI)identical for every candidate
Derek TranNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Chuong V. VoNot available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.
Money is each candidate's FEC summary: every committee the candidate has authorized, combined, as filed through the coverage date shown.

Polling

0 listed · newest first

Not available No public polls of this race in our data yet.

    Seat lean · Hume PVI

    not available

    Not available The district lean is held: this state's House map was redrawn, and the plan-aware lean has not yet been cross-checked.

    Prior result, this seat

    not available

    Not available District redrawn; not comparable.

    Sources: FEC filings (through Oct 14, 2026) · Hume PVI and Hume Outlook: Hidden Levers estimates.

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